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Decision Support Framework for Sea-level Rise Impacts
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One of the principal impacts of sea-level rise will be the loss of land in coastal areas through erosion and submergence of the coastal landscape. However, changes vary across space and time and are difficult to predict because landforms such as beaches, barriers, and marshes can respond to sea level rise in complicated, dynamic ways. This project developed decision support models to address critical management decisions at regional and local scales, considering both dynamic and simple inundation responses to sea-level rise.
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North Atlantic Hurricane Sandy Resiliency Science Projects
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Decision support framework for sea-level rise impacts
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North Atlantic Aquatic Connectivity Collaborative
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This project is developing a partner-driven, science-based approach for identifying and prioritizing culvert road stream crossings in the area impacted by Hurricane Sandy for increasing resilience to future floods while improving aquatic connectivity for fish passage. The resulting information and tools will be used to inform and improve decision making by towns, states and other key decision makers.
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North Atlantic Hurricane Sandy Resiliency Science Projects
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Impacts of Climate Change on Stream Temperature
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This study gathered existing stream temperature data, identified data gaps, deployed temperature monitoring to locations lacking data, and compared state-of-the-art stream temperature models across the Northeast domain.
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North Atlantic Hurricane Sandy Resiliency Science Projects
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Impacts of Climate Change on Stream Temperature
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Forecasting Changes in Aquatic Systems and Resilience of Brook Trout
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The objective of this project was to develop tools to assist managers in protecting and restoring streams for brook trout and other aquatic resources in the face of threats such as climate change and development. Deliverables from this project included models of stream temperature, stream flow, and brook trout occurrence for headwaters of the Northeast, including projections of the potential effects of climate change. The investigators worked closely with decision-makers such as state water resource agencies to ensure the tools are useful.
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Documentation: Population Persistence Modelling
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Documentation for Task 3: Incorporate climate change forecasts into population persistence models. UMass will obtain an ‘envelope’ of downscaled global circulation data on precipitation and air temperature and incorporate these into the models in Task 1 using relationships from Task 2 in order to forecast local population persistence across climate change scenarios.
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Forecasting Changes in Aquatic Systems and Resilience of Brook Trout
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Wood Thrush Model Documentation - Designing Sustainable Landscapes
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Documentation for the habitat capability model for Wood Thrush used in the Designing Sustainable Landscapes project led by the University of Massachusetts
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Terrestrial Wildlife Habitat Models
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Climate Change Vulnerability Index for Northeast species
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NatureServe and Heritage Program collaborators have developed a Climate Change Vulnerability Index (CCVI) to provide a rapid, scientifically defensible assessment of species' vulnerability to climate change. The CCVI integrates information about exposure to altered climates and species-specific sensitivity factors known to be associated with vulnerability to climate change. This project applied the CCVI to 64 species selected in collaboration with state wildlife staff and other experts.
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Extending the Northeast Terrestrial Habitat Map to Atlantic Canada
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This project developed a comprehensive terrestrial habitat map for the entire extent of the North Atlantic Landscape Conservation Cooperative (NALCC) region by extending the Northeast Terrestrial Habitat Map to Atlantic Canada and southern Quebec. The completed version was released on September 10, 2015.
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Extending the Northeast Terrestrial Habitat Map to Atlantic Canada
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Marine Bird Mapping and Assessment
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This project developed a series of maps depicting the distribution and probability of occurrence of marine birds in the northwestern Atlantic Ocean. The maps are intended to be used for informing decisions about siting offshore facilities; marine spatial planning; and other uses requiring maps of seabird distributions.
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Piping Plovers and Sea-level Rise
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This collaborative project provided biologists and managers along the Atlantic coast with tools to predict effects of accelerating sea-level rise on the distribution of piping plover breeding habitat, test those predictions, and feed results back into the modeling framework to improve predictive capabilities. Immediate model results will be used to inform a coast-wide assessment of threats from sea-level rise and related habitat conservation recommendations that can be implemented by land managers and inform recommendations to regulators. Case studies incorporating resilience of piping plover habitat into management plans for specific locations demonstrate potential applications.
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