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Project Update June 2012
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Forecasting changes in stream flow, temperature, and salmonid populations in Eastern U.S. as a result of climate change: What's going to happen, how certain are we, and how can we help managers help fish?
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Forecasting Changes in Aquatic Systems and Resilience of Brook Trout
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Documentation: Population Persistence Modelling
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Documentation for Task 3: Incorporate climate change forecasts into population persistence models. UMass will obtain an ‘envelope’ of downscaled global circulation data on precipitation and air temperature and incorporate these into the models in Task 1 using relationships from Task 2 in order to forecast local population persistence across climate change scenarios.
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Forecasting Changes in Aquatic Systems and Resilience of Brook Trout
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Documentation: Hydrology and Stream Temperature
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Documentation for Task 2: Statistical models to predict stream flow and temperature based on air temperature and precipitation. UMass will develop an empirical model for the relationship between air temperature and water temperature as a function of local environmental conditions.
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Forecasting Changes in Aquatic Systems and Resilience of Brook Trout
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Decision Support System Meeting Report Jan 2012
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Summary and notes from project meeting
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Forecasting Changes in Aquatic Systems and Resilience of Brook Trout
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Journal Article: Linking movement and reproductive history of brook trout to assess habitat connectivity
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Kanno, Y., B.H. Letcher, J.A. Coombs, K.H. Nislow, and A.R. Whiteley. 2014. Linking movement and reproductive history of brook trout to assess habitat connectivity in a heterogenous stream network. Freshwater Biology 59: 142-154.
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Forecasting Changes in Aquatic Systems and Resilience of Brook Trout
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Original task list and timeline - Fall 2011
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For North Atlantic LCC Project: Forecasting changes in aquatic systems and resilience of aquatic populations
in the North Atlantic Landscape Conservation Cooperative: Decision-support tools for
conservation
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Forecasting Changes in Aquatic Systems and Resilience of Brook Trout
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Revised task list and timeline - Spring 2013
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For North Atlantic LCC Project: Forecasting changes in aquatic systems and resilience of aquatic populations
in the North Atlantic Landscape Conservation Cooperative: Decision-support tools for
conservation
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Forecasting Changes in Aquatic Systems and Resilience of Brook Trout
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NALCC/NECSC Decision Support System
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In progress: The objective of Phase 1, which is being funded via this cooperative agreement, is to develop a web-based decision support system for evaluating effects of alternate management strategies on local population persistence of brook trout under different climate change scenarios. This DSS will include a hierarchical Bayesian model that accounts for multiple scales and sources of uncertainty in climate change predictions; it will include models to predict stream flow and temperature based on air temperature and precipitation; and it will incorporate climate change forecasts into population persistence models.
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Forecasting Changes in Aquatic Systems and Resilience of Brook Trout
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Journal Article: Estimating size-specific brook trout abundance, Kanno et al. 2012
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Kanno, Y., J. C. Vokoun, K. E. Holsinger, and B. H. Letcher. 2012. Estimating size-specific brook trout abundance in continuously sampled headwater streams using Bayesian mixed models with zero inflation and overdispersion. Ecology of Freshwater Fish:1–16.
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Forecasting Changes in Aquatic Systems and Resilience of Brook Trout
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Journal Article: Paired stream-air temperature measurements reveal fine-scale thermal heterogeneity, Kanno et al. 2013
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Kanno, Y., J. C. Vokoun, and B. Letcher. 2013. Paired stream-air temperature measurements reveal fine-scale thermal heterogeneity within headwater brook trout streams networks. River Research and Applications 10.1002/rr.
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Forecasting Changes in Aquatic Systems and Resilience of Brook Trout