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NALCC/NECSC Decision Support System
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In progress: The objective of Phase 1, which is being funded via this cooperative agreement, is to develop a web-based decision support system for evaluating effects of alternate management strategies on local population persistence of brook trout under different climate change scenarios. This DSS will include a hierarchical Bayesian model that accounts for multiple scales and sources of uncertainty in climate change predictions; it will include models to predict stream flow and temperature based on air temperature and precipitation; and it will incorporate climate change forecasts into population persistence models.
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Forecasting Changes in Aquatic Systems and Resilience of Brook Trout
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Revised task list and timeline - Spring 2013
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For North Atlantic LCC Project: Forecasting changes in aquatic systems and resilience of aquatic populations
in the North Atlantic Landscape Conservation Cooperative: Decision-support tools for
conservation
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Forecasting Changes in Aquatic Systems and Resilience of Brook Trout
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Original task list and timeline - Fall 2011
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For North Atlantic LCC Project: Forecasting changes in aquatic systems and resilience of aquatic populations
in the North Atlantic Landscape Conservation Cooperative: Decision-support tools for
conservation
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Forecasting Changes in Aquatic Systems and Resilience of Brook Trout
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Journal Article: Linking movement and reproductive history of brook trout to assess habitat connectivity
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Kanno, Y., B.H. Letcher, J.A. Coombs, K.H. Nislow, and A.R. Whiteley. 2014. Linking movement and reproductive history of brook trout to assess habitat connectivity in a heterogenous stream network. Freshwater Biology 59: 142-154.
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Forecasting Changes in Aquatic Systems and Resilience of Brook Trout
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Decision Support System Meeting Report Jan 2012
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Summary and notes from project meeting
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Forecasting Changes in Aquatic Systems and Resilience of Brook Trout
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Documentation: Hydrology and Stream Temperature
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Documentation for Task 2: Statistical models to predict stream flow and temperature based on air temperature and precipitation. UMass will develop an empirical model for the relationship between air temperature and water temperature as a function of local environmental conditions.
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Forecasting Changes in Aquatic Systems and Resilience of Brook Trout
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Documentation: Population Persistence Modelling
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Documentation for Task 3: Incorporate climate change forecasts into population persistence models. UMass will obtain an ‘envelope’ of downscaled global circulation data on precipitation and air temperature and incorporate these into the models in Task 1 using relationships from Task 2 in order to forecast local population persistence across climate change scenarios.
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Forecasting Changes in Aquatic Systems and Resilience of Brook Trout
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Project Update June 2012
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Forecasting changes in stream flow, temperature, and salmonid populations in Eastern U.S. as a result of climate change: What's going to happen, how certain are we, and how can we help managers help fish?
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Forecasting Changes in Aquatic Systems and Resilience of Brook Trout
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The Vulnerabilities of Northeastern Fish and Wildlife Habitats to Sea Level Rise
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Sea level rise poses a major new threat to the conservation of important coastal ecological
resources in the Northeast and elsewhere. As yet, our ability to project habitat and species
vulnerabilities to this threat is constrained by methodological limitations and a lack of research.
Nevertheless, if we are to manage and conserve these resources, on which huge investments have
been made over the last few decades, it is vital that we begin to understand vulnerabilities and
the factors responsible for them. In this report we review the scientific literature to evaluate our
current understanding of the vulnerabilities of fish and wildlife habitats in the northeastern
coastal zone to sea level rise (SLR); identify the major sources of uncertainty; and suggest future
research that will help us continue to conserve these coastal ecological resources. Specifically,
we evaluate the extent to which existing studies, data sets and tools allow us to infer reliable
conclusions about the likely vulnerabilities and fates of coastal habitats for fish and wildlife, the
uncertainties that surround these conclusions due to the shortcomings of the existing datasets and
tools, and how future research and conservation activities might help reduce such uncertainties.
By bringing together the current scientific information on climate change and coastal ecological
resource vulnerabilities in the Northeast, this review is intended primarily for resource managers
who are charged with making practical decisions about land management.
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Vulnerabilities to climate change of Northeast fish and wildlife habitats, Phase II
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Notes: Stream Temperature Data and Modeling Meeting II
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Ideas, Recommendations, and Discussion Topics from the 05/01/2014 meeting.
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Impacts of Climate Change on Stream Temperature
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Stream Temperature Data and Modeling Meeting II (May 2014)
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