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Quantifying the Likelihood of Regional Climate Change: A Hybridized Approach
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This paper addresses the growing need for risk-based assessments of impacts and adaptation to climate change calls for increased capability in climate projections and presents a technique for the quantification of the likelihood of regional climate outcomes and the associated representation of uncertainty.
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Projected Changes of Extreme Weather Events in the Eastern United States
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This study is the first evaluation of dynamical downscaling using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model on a 4 km 4 km high resolution scale in the eastern US driven by the new Community Earth System Model version 1.0 (CESM v1.0). First we examined the global and regional climate model results, and corrected an inconsistency in skin temperature during the downscaling process by modifying the land/sea mask. In comparison with observations, WRF shows statistically significant improvement over CESM in reproducing extreme weather events, with improvement for heat wave frequency estimation as high as 98%. The fossil fuel intensive scenario Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5 was used to study a possible future mid-century climate extreme in 2057–9. Both the heat waves and the extreme precipitation in 2057–9 are more severe than the present climate in the Eastern US. The Northeastern US shows large increases in both heat wave intensity (3.05 C higher) and annual extreme precipitation (107.3 mm more per year).
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NALCC Projects & Science Needs Oct 2012
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This handout is the list of projects and science needs for the North Atlantic Landscape Conservation Cooperative, as approved by the committee in April 2012 and updated in October 2012. It includes a project description, status of the project, and cost, as well as brief RFP Timeline.
(Handout 10)
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RFP Topic 2 Technical Review Panel Recommendations
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This is the summary of the recommendations from the Technical Review Panel for the RFP Topic 2: Evaluation of restoration methods that allow salt marshes to adapt to sea-level rise. It includes the decision of the Technical Review Panel as well as a summary of the procedure.
(Handout 11b)
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Designing Sustainable Landscapes Project Update
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The NALCC Designing Sustainable Landscapes Project finished it's first phase and conducted workshops in each of the three pilot areas, and summarizes the progress, feedback, and plan for the next phase in this two-page document.
(Handout 12)
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Partner and Contractor contributions to SWAP Collaboration
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This table includes information on the various SWAP Elements and their contributors and relevant projects.
(Handout 13a)
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NE Conservation Synthesis for State Wildlife Action Plan Revisions
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This is a component of the Northeast Regional Conservation Synthesis Project, detailing plans for the Regional Synthesis and Action Plan revisions.
(Handout 13b)
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NALCC Data Request Letter
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This is a copy of the letter requesting data from Species of Greatest Conservation Need (SGCN) for the NALCC for limited use in the project “Northeast Regional Conservation Synthesis for State Wildlife Action Plan Revisions”.
(Handout 14)
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NALCC Science Delivery Team Proposal
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This handout from the NALCC Steering Committee meeting on October 31, 2012, outlines the proposed changes to the Demonstration Project Committee and the Needs Assessment Process, as well as providing background.
(Handout 15)
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Environmental Flows in the Northeast
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“Environmental flows” refer to the quantity, quality, and timing of water flows necessary to sustain freshwater and estuarine ecosystems and the associated resources that people depend on. This document discusses opportunities for future LCC / NECSC involvement in environmental flows projects, including temperature monitoring, modeling and relationship to stream flow.
(Handout 17)
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